Dollar in driver's seat as payrolls loom; sterling battered

Business & Finance
5 Nov 2021 • 9:54 AM MYT
Malay Mail
Malay Mail

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The dollar index was steady at 94.341 after rallying 0.51 per cent overnight. — Reuters pic

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TOKYO, Nov 5 ― The dollar was on course for a second straight week of gains against major peers today, ahead of a key US jobs report that could sway the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate increases.

Sterling headed for its worst week in 11 after the Bank of England caught the market off-guard by keeping rates steady yesterday.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six rivals, was steady at 94.341 after rallying 0.51 per cent overnight. That lifted it into the positive for the week, adding 0.21 per cent.

The British pound was little changed today following a 1.36 per cent tumble in the previous session that set it up for a 1.34 per cent slump for the week.

Investors have been forced to reset monetary policy expectations this week, after some of the biggest central banks knocked back bets for early rate hikes.

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde pushed back on Wednesday against market bets for a rate hike as soon as next October and said it was very unlikely such a move would occur in 2022.

Also on Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he was in no rush to hike borrowing costs, even as the Federal Open Market Committee announced a US$15 billion (RM62.4 billion) monthly tapering of its US$120 billion in monthly asset purchases.

The Fed has set a labour market recovery as a condition for rates lift-off. US non-farm payrolls are due later today, and economists predict a surge of 450,000 jobs in October, following a 194,000 rise in the prior month.

“The FOMC delivered a 'dovish taper,' but the USD is still better positioned than most,” Westpac strategists wrote in a client note.

“Payrolls this week should be at least as strong as consensus given signs that recovery momentum is accelerating again,” making dips into the mid-93s a buying opportunity for the dollar index, they said.

The euro was little changed at US$1.1552 after dropping 0.49 per cent overnight, putting it on course for a slight decline this week.

The dollar was about flat at ¥113.78, down 0.22 per cent since last Friday. While the Bank of Japan is set to be slowest among developed-market central banks to normalize policy, the Japanese currency benefited as those expectations remained constant while investors cut bets elsewhere.

The Reserve Bank of Australia set the tone for the week on Tuesday, when policy makers stuck to their dovish stance in the face of increasingly sticky inflation pressures.

The Aussie dollar was about flat at US$0.74025 today, holding the previous session's 0.67 per cent decline and on course for a 1.56 per cent drop this week.

New Zealand's kiwi dollar was also mostly unchanged at US$0.7104 after a 0.81 per cent slide yesterday, setting up a 0.96 per cent weekly loss.

Among cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was around US$61,300, having largely traded sideways since it hit its all-time high above US$67,000 last month.

Ether, the second-biggest cryptocurrency, traded around US$4,500 after hitting a record high of US$4,670.81 on Wednesday. ― Reuters