Budget 2024 latest: Reeves facing £16.6bn peak in UK borrowing due to public sector pay rises

WorldPolitics
22 Oct 2024 • 7:33 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

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Rachel Reeves will announce Labour’s first Budget since coming into power on 30 October, leading one of the most anticipated fiscal events in over two decades.

Ahead of her announcement, government borrowing rose to £16.6 billion last month marking the third highest September borrowing since records began, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This has brought borrowing in the year to date to £79.6 billion – £6.7 billion more than forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility. The ONS says public sector pay rises contributed to the unexpected rise.

The public finance figures won’t be welcomed by the chancellor, but official sources have said they demonstrate the need for fiscal prudence at the upcoming Budget.

Treasury Chief Secretary Darren Jones said the state of the public finances meant there would be “difficult decisions” to be made.

The ONS figures also show that spending on benefits is down to a two-year low, decreasing by £2 billion to £25.7 billion. The department says a large part of this is due to the cutback of winter fuel payments and removal of cost of living payments.

Reports indicate that the government still intends to reduce welfare spending by £3 billion a year.

We’ll be bringing you all the latest updates ahead of the big event on 30 October here, on The Independent’s liveblog.

Key Points

  • Streeting refuses to rule out income tax threshold freeze
  • When is the 2024 Budget and what might be in it?
  • Government will keep manifesto pledges, says Starmer

Borrowing figures prove need for “tough decisions” says Treasury official

10:40

Albert Toth

Treasury Chief Secretary Darren Jones said the state of the public finances meant there would be “difficult decisions” in the October 30 Budget.

He said: “We have inherited a £22 billion black hole in the country’s public finances, including no plan to fund pay deals for millions of public sector workers.

“Strikes cost at least £3 billion last year, so it was the right thing to do to end those damaging disputes.

“Resolving this black hole at the Budget next week will require difficult decisions to fix the foundations of our economy and begin delivering on the promise of change.”

Could the government tax pension savings?

08:00

Jabed Ahmed

Pension tax relief is a reduction of the amount of tax paid on private pensions. It helps workers save for retirement by boosting their pension pots.

The amount of tax relief a person is granted is based on their income tax. It will effectively cancel out tax on pension contributions up to a maximum of £60,000.

After this, contributions will be taxed at either 20, 40, or 45 per cent, depending on which income tax rate the worker falls into.

However, the chancellor is thought to be considering a flat 30 per cent pension tax relief rate. This would mean that higher earners would effectively pay 10 per cent in tax, while those on the additional rate would pay 15.

The measure would raise around £3 billion a year, with 7 million earners paying more tax. But it would be better news for basic rate earners, who would actually begin to receive a 10 per cent boost to their pension contributions.

Evaluating the idea last year, the IFS said it would “redistribute the burden of taxation from the bottom 80 per cent to the top 20 per cent of earners.”

Calls for budget to fund Iron Dome-style missile defence system in UK

06:00

Jabed Ahmed

The UK needs its own version of Israel’s Iron Dome missile defence system to protect it from Russian aggression, former ministers have said.

Former defence secretary Penny Mordaunt told The I: “This is a significant UK capability gap we must plug at the earliest opportunity. The forthcoming Budget must enable early work to be done on the alliance’s key needs and let the US and other partners know we mean business.”

Fact check: Would raising employer national insurance be a ‘tax on working people’?

04:00

Jabed Ahmed

Speculation has mounted in the subsequent months, with an increase in employer NICs now looking likely. The measure has caused strong political debate, focused on whether it would break Labour’s manifesto pledge to not raise taxes on “working people.”

Ministers and Treasury officials have indicated the government’s position is that the measure would not break their manifesto pledge. Labour has not confirmed that an employer NIC hike will be included in the Budget, but has refused to rule the measure out.

Meanwhile, Institute for Fiscal Studies director Paul Johnson has argued it would be a “straightforward breach.”

The tax expert adds that in the extreme case that an increase of one pence per pound in employer NICs was passed on to employees in the form of lower wages, the measure would only net £4.5 billion a year. He adds that the end figure would probably be a little higher than this, but much less than a previous HMRC estimate of £8.5 billion.

Martin Lewis sends warning over Buy Now Pay Later crackdown

02:00

Jabed Ahmed

Martin Lewis has issued a warning over a new crackdown on buy now, pay later products.

The money expert has cautioned consumers it is a case of buy now, get protected later.

Ministers have announced that millions of shoppers are to be protected by new rules for BNPL, as they are known.

Mr Lewis welcomed the change saying: "Buy Now, Pay Later is now ubiquitous at online checkouts, so the fact it’s never been regulated is a travesty I and others have long campaigned on.

“The last chancellor promised to regulate, then the tumbleweed rolled as he went silent, so I am delighted the new government has quickly restarted the process.”

Millionaires urge Reeves to raise £14bn from capital gains tax changes at Budget

Monday 21 October 2024 23:59

Jabed Ahmed

Rachel Reeves should increase capital gains tax (CGT) at Labour’s upcoming Budget, a group of millionaire business owners have urged, estimating the measure would raise £14bn a year.

In a report by the IPPR think-tank, analysts have consulted with wealthy entrepreneurs who say higher CGT would not have stopped them from making investments in the UK.

The group has called for CGT to be aligned with income tax, arguing that fears such a move would lead wealthy individuals to leave the country in response are unfounded. Recent HMRC analysis found that a 10 per cent increase to the measure would actually cost the exchequer £2bn after behavioural impacts.

How Labour could push through ‘stealth’ income tax rise at the Budget

Monday 21 October 2024 23:00

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

What other steps could be taken to tackle the UK’s economic challenges?

Monday 21 October 2024 22:00

Jabed Ahmed

There have been rumours Labour could tweak the fiscal rules the Government uses to constrain its own spending and tax decisions.

Chief among those under consideration for change is the period over which the Government aims to see national debt falling as a percentage of the UK’s overall economic output.

Relaxing this rule to a longer period than the current five-year target, or removing spending by certain public organisations from the total, could allow the Chancellor to borrow more cash to invest in major infrastructure projects such as railways, roads, hospitals and new prisons.

What are the problems Labour faces as it sets out its spending plans?

Monday 21 October 2024 21:00

Jabed Ahmed

Public services including the NHS and local councils are struggling across the UK, as they grapple with an ageing population, backlogs caused by the pandemic, and the aftermath of the coalition-era austerity programme.

Labour has brokered a pay deal for a swathe of public servants after several years of industrial action, a spending commitment worth £9 billion by some estimates.

Ms Reeves has also claimed the previous Conservative government did not account for the costs of some of its promises, which now need to be met or scaled back.

These commitments, alongside keeping the Government’s ongoing costs “standing still”, made up the so-called £22 billion “black hole” in the public finances which Labour said it needs to fill.

However, Ms Reeves is said to have since identified a far larger £40 billion funding gap which she will seek to plug to protect key departments from real-terms cuts and put the economy on a firmer footing.

Wider economic gains being ignored in two-child limit debate, says think tank

Monday 21 October 2024 20:00

Jabed Ahmed

The wider benefits of scrapping the two-child limit such as the future earnings potential of young people who avoid poverty as a result are being ignored, a think tank has said.

Prime minister Sir Keir Starmer has faced pressure, including from some of his own Labour MPs, since being elected in July to scrap the controversial Conservative policy but has insisted he cannot do so in the current economic climate.

The New Economics Foundation (NEF) said its UK-wide analysis suggests that retaining both the two-child limit and the benefit cap – which a number of campaigners have said should also be axed – could see almost half (49.4%) of families with three or more children living in relative poverty after housing costs by the end of this Parliament five years from now.

Scrapping both from April 2025 could cost the Government £2.5 billion a year, rising to £3.5 billion by 2029/30, the organisation said.

Much of these costs are taken up by the two-child limit at £1.9 billion and £2.6 billion respectively, the NEF said, but it argued this would be “significantly offset by short, medium and longer-term economic gains”.

Comment: Labour were right to break their promise on taxes – we should all be paying more

Monday 21 October 2024 19:00

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

When is the 2024 Budget and what might be in it?

Monday 21 October 2024 18:00

Jabed Ahmed

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver Labour’s first Budget on Wednesday 30 October.

Each year, the chancellor of the exchequer - who is in charge of the government’s finances - makes a Budget statement to MPs.

The speech outlines the government’s plans for spending and taxes.

The Budget speech usually starts around 12:30pm and lasts about an hour. The Independent will be bringing you all the latest updates on the big day.

Ms Reeves may be considering pushing the freeze beyond its current expiry date of 2028 in a move that could raise £7 billion, according to the Financial Times.

Other measures reported to be under consideration include increasing employers’ national insurance contributions, raising fuel duty for the first time since 2010, changes to rules on inheritance tax and stamp duty, and a levy on e-cigarettes, according to reports across the media.

The Treasury has so far declined to comment on Budget speculation.

ICMYI: Streeting refuses to rule out income tax threshold freeze

Monday 21 October 2024 17:31

Jabed Ahmed

Wes Streeting has refused to rule out that the Government will freeze income tax thresholds in the upcoming Budget.

Mr Streeting had previously voted against the measure in opposition while Rishi Sunak was prime minister.

Speaking on Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips on Sky News, Mr Streeting said: “I’m not going to speculate on what the Chancellor might do in the Budget.

“If you’re asking me whether I would vote against anything in the Chancellor’s Budget? The answer is no, of course I’m not going to do that.”

He went on to say: “This country is paying a heavy price for Conservative failure, and we’re going to have to make some big and difficult choices in this Budget to make sure we fix the foundations of the economy and we don’t end up back here.”

He later added: “What we’re not going to do is duck the difficult decisions, have Government by gimmick, short-term sticking plasters, because that is exactly how we ended up in this situation.”

Wes Streeting warned inflation-busting NHS Budget deal will not be enough

Monday 21 October 2024 17:01

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

Will there be Business Rates reforms in the budget?

Monday 21 October 2024 16:31

Jabed Ahmed

In its election manifesto, Labour said it was committed to reforming the current business rates system “so we can raise the same revenue but in a fairer way”.

What this means has not been spelt out by the party, but it said the new system will be designed to “level the playing field between the high street and online giants, better incentivise investment, tackle empty properties and support entrepreneurship”.

It’s thought this could take the form of an immediate cut to the rates, while also closing loopholes which allow some firms to avoid tax. This will come as welcome news to smaller business owners, but Labour will be careful to ensure their reform maintains a monetary net zero.

Exchequer secretary James Murray MP confirmed this at a Labour conference fringe event hosted by the British Retail Consortium, saying: “It’s within the current envelope. It’s all about raising the same amount of money overall, that’s the commitment.”

Will Reeves increase fuel duty?

Monday 21 October 2024 16:01

Jabed Ahmed

Fuel duties, or taxes, apply to purchases of petrol, diesel and a variety of other fuels used both for vehicles and domestic heating.

The level of fuel duty depends on the type of fuel used, with a litre of petrol, diesel, biodiesel and bioethanol attracting a fuel duty of 52.95p. It was cut by 5p by the Conservatives in 2022, after being frozen at 57.95p since 2011.

It represents a significant source of revenue for the government, expected to raise £24.7 billion in 2023-24, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility – equivalent to 2.2 per cent of all receipts.

Scrapping the 5p cut would raise the government an estimated £2bn. However, doing so would not automatically force fuel retailers to bring down their costs, likely meaning higher fees for motorists, at least in the short term.

UK interest rates will drop to 2.75 per cent, Goldman Sachs predicts

Monday 21 October 2024 15:43

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

UK banks pay record amount in taxes after making bumper profits

Monday 21 October 2024 15:31

Jabed Ahmed

UK banks paid a record amount in taxes last year after generating bumper profits, while the gap between taxation on the City and other global financial hubs widens, figures show.

The UK banking sector’s total tax contribution was £44.8 billion for the financial year to the end of March, according to analysis produced by PwC for trade group UK Finance.

With the government set to announce its Budget next week, there has been growing speculation over possible tax changes to help cover shortfalls in public finances.

Gary Greenwood, a research analyst for Shore Capital Markets, said the Government would need to “think long and hard” before potentially increasing taxes for banks.

“While taxing banks more may not get much pushback from the public, they already carry a relatively high tax burden in an international context and we feel that it would also be a damaging move when the Government is seeking to drive increased economic growth,” he said.

What are the rumoured welfare spending cuts?

Monday 21 October 2024 15:02

Jabed Ahmed

Labour has made no secret of its ambition to reduce the government’s welfare spending bill, so Ms Reeves will likely take the Budget as her opportunity to do so.

Speaking at Labour’s party conference, the prime minister said: “We will get the welfare bill down because we will tackle long-term sickness and support people back to work.”

What has been confirmed is a crackdown on benefit fraud, which looks to save £1.6bn over the next five years. Also possible is the mooted reform to personal independence payments (PIP) to provide cash vouchers or expenses rather than regular payments – a Conservative-era policy that Labour has refused to rule out.

Threat to high earners as Rachel Reeves looks to plug £40bn Budget black hole

Monday 21 October 2024 14:45

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

Will there be an inheritance tax increase?

Monday 21 October 2024 14:01

Jabed Ahmed

Inheritance tax is a levy on the estate of someone who has died. This is their property, money and possessions. Crucially, it is not paid if the value of these things is below £325,000.

The tax rate is 40 per cent, but it’s only charged on the part of the estate that’s above the threshold. In 2023/24, only 5 per cent of deaths generated an inheritance tax bill, raising around £7 billion.

However, the IFS writes that the tax measure “is littered with special exemptions”. These include a business relief, the ability to pass on agricultural land tax-free, and the tax-free passing on of pension pots.

The economic think tank says that ending these measures alone would raise £4.8bn a year by 2029.

Could the government tax pension savings?

Monday 21 October 2024 13:02

Jabed Ahmed

Pension tax relief is a reduction of the amount of tax paid on private pensions. It helps workers save for retirement by boosting their pension pots.

The amount of tax relief a person is granted is based on their income tax. It will effectively cancel out tax on pension contributions up to a maximum of £60,000.

After this, contributions will be taxed at either 20, 40, or 45 per cent, depending on which income tax rate the worker falls into.

However, the chancellor is thought to be considering a flat 30 per cent pension tax relief rate. This would mean that higher earners would effectively pay 10 per cent in tax, while those on the additional rate would pay 15.

The measure would raise around £3 billion a year, with 7 million earners paying more tax. But it would be better news for basic rate earners, who would actually begin to receive a 10 per cent boost to their pension contributions.

Evaluating the idea last year, the IFS said it would “redistribute the burden of taxation from the bottom 80 per cent to the top 20 per cent of earners.”

Calls for budget to fund Iron Dome-style missile defence system in UK

Monday 21 October 2024 12:29

Jabed Ahmed

The UK needs its own version of Israel’s Iron Dome missile defence system to protect it from Russian aggression, former ministers have said.

Former defence secretary Penny Mordaunt told The I: “This is a significant UK capability gap we must plug at the earliest opportunity. The forthcoming Budget must enable early work to be done on the alliance’s key needs and let the US and other partners know we mean business.”

Budget 2024 preview: Capital Gains reform

Monday 21 October 2024 12:01

Jabed Ahmed

Capital Gains Tax (CGT) is paid on the profit made when an asset which has increased in value is sold. It is applied to things like the sale of personal possessions worth more than £6,000 (apart from a car), property that’s not the seller’s main home, shares and business assets.

It is charged at 10 or 18 percent for basic rate taxpayers, and 20 or 24 for higher or additional rate earners. There is a tax-free allowance of £3,000.

There are several ways CGT could be changed. In the run-up to the election, the Lib Dems and Greens both said they would rethink the tax bands to be more similar to income tax, raising an estimated £5.2bn a year.

Fact check: Would raising employer national insurance be a ‘tax on working people’?

Monday 21 October 2024 11:13

Jabed Ahmed

Speculation has mounted in the subsequent months, with an increase in employer NICs now looking likely. The measure has caused strong political debate, focused on whether it would break Labour’s manifesto pledge to not raise taxes on “working people.”

Ministers and Treasury officials have indicated the government’s position is that the measure would not break their manifesto pledge. Labour has not confirmed that an employer NIC hike will be included in the Budget, but has refused to rule the measure out.

Meanwhile, Institute for Fiscal Studies director Paul Johnson has argued it would be a “straightforward breach.”

The tax expert adds that in the extreme case that an increase of one pence per pound in employer NICs was passed on to employees in the form of lower wages, the measure would only net £4.5 billion a year. He adds that the end figure would probably be a little higher than this, but much less than a previous HMRC estimate of £8.5 billion.

Martin Lewis sends warning over Buy Now Pay Later crackdown

Monday 21 October 2024 10:14

Jabed Ahmed

Martin Lewis has issued a warning over a new crackdown on buy now, pay later products.

The money expert has cautioned consumers it is a case of buy now, get protected later.

Ministers have announced that millions of shoppers are to be protected by new rules for BNPL, as they are known.

Mr Lewis welcomed the change saying: "Buy Now, Pay Later is now ubiquitous at online checkouts, so the fact it’s never been regulated is a travesty I and others have long campaigned on.

“The last chancellor promised to regulate, then the tumbleweed rolled as he went silent, so I am delighted the new government has quickly restarted the process.”

Millionaires urge Reeves to raise £14bn from capital gains tax changes at Budget

Monday 21 October 2024 09:15

Jabed Ahmed

Rachel Reeves should increase capital gains tax (CGT) at Labour’s upcoming Budget, a group of millionaire business owners have urged, estimating the measure would raise £14bn a year.

In a report by the IPPR think-tank, analysts have consulted with wealthy entrepreneurs who say higher CGT would not have stopped them from making investments in the UK.

The group has called for CGT to be aligned with income tax, arguing that fears such a move would lead wealthy individuals to leave the country in response are unfounded. Recent HMRC analysis found that a 10 per cent increase to the measure would actually cost the exchequer £2bn after behavioural impacts.

Budget 2024: Inheritance tax set to rise – here’s what it means for you

Monday 21 October 2024 08:46

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

ICMYI: Streeting refuses to rule out income tax threshold freeze

Monday 21 October 2024 07:00

Jabed Ahmed

Wes Streeting has refused to rule out that the Government will freeze income tax thresholds in the upcoming Budget.

Mr Streeting had previously voted against the measure in opposition while Rishi Sunak was prime minister.

Speaking on Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips on Sky News, Mr Streeting said: “I’m not going to speculate on what the Chancellor might do in the Budget.

“If you’re asking me whether I would vote against anything in the Chancellor’s Budget? The answer is no, of course I’m not going to do that.”

He went on to say: “This country is paying a heavy price for Conservative failure, and we’re going to have to make some big and difficult choices in this Budget to make sure we fix the foundations of the economy and we don’t end up back here.”

He later added: “What we’re not going to do is duck the difficult decisions, have Government by gimmick, short-term sticking plasters, because that is exactly how we ended up in this situation.”

When is the 2024 Budget and what might be in it?

Monday 21 October 2024 05:00

Jabed Ahmed

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver Labour’s first Budget on Wednesday 30 October.

Each year, the chancellor of the exchequer - who is in charge of the government’s finances - makes a Budget statement to MPs.

The speech outlines the government’s plans for spending and taxes.

The Budget speech usually starts around 12:30pm and lasts about an hour. The Independent will be bringing you all the latest updates on the big day.

Ms Reeves may be considering pushing the freeze beyond its current expiry date of 2028 in a move that could raise £7 billion, according to the Financial Times.

Other measures reported to be under consideration include increasing employers’ national insurance contributions, raising fuel duty for the first time since 2010, changes to rules on inheritance tax and stamp duty, and a levy on e-cigarettes, according to reports across the media.

The Treasury has so far declined to comment on Budget speculation.

Comment: Labour were right to break their promise on taxes – we should all be paying more

Monday 21 October 2024 03:00

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

Reeves considers raising tax on vaping in Budget

Monday 21 October 2024 01:00

Jabed Ahmed

Rachel Reeves is considering raising the tax on vaping products in the upcoming Budget as figures lay bare how many children access them in the UK, The Guardian reports.

The tax on vaping products was originally announced by the Conservatives in March, to come in to force in 2026. It is now understood that Ms Reeves could look to increase this.

Under current plans, the new rates from April 2026 will range from £1-3 per 10ml of liquid, depending on nicotine level.

Rachel Reeves planning £3bn welfare cuts in Budget

Sunday 20 October 2024 23:15

Jabed Ahmed

Rachel Reeves will seek to make around £3 billion of cuts to welfare over the next four years by restricting access to sickness benefits, it is understood.

The Chancellor is expected to commit to the previous Tory government’s plans to save the sum by reforming work capability rules, as first reported by The Telegraph.

Under Conservative proposals, welfare eligibility would have been tightened so that around 400,000 more people who are signed off long-term would be assessed as needing to prepare for employment by 2028/29, reducing the benefits bill by an estimated £3 billion.

It is understood that Ms Reeves will commit to the plan to save £3 billion over four years, but Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall will decide how the system will be changed in order to achieve this.

What other steps could be taken to tackle the UK’s economic challenges?

Sunday 20 October 2024 21:29

Jabed Ahmed

There have been rumours Labour could tweak the fiscal rules the Government uses to constrain its own spending and tax decisions.

Chief among those under consideration for change is the period over which the Government aims to see national debt falling as a percentage of the UK’s overall economic output.

Relaxing this rule to a longer period than the current five-year target, or removing spending by certain public organisations from the total, could allow the Chancellor to borrow more cash to invest in major infrastructure projects such as railways, roads, hospitals and new prisons.

What are the problems Labour faces as it sets out its spending plans?

Sunday 20 October 2024 19:32

Jabed Ahmed

Public services including the NHS and local councils are struggling across the UK, as they grapple with an ageing population, backlogs caused by the pandemic, and the aftermath of the coalition-era austerity programme.

Labour has brokered a pay deal for a swathe of public servants after several years of industrial action, a spending commitment worth £9 billion by some estimates.

Ms Reeves has also claimed the previous Conservative government did not account for the costs of some of its promises, which now need to be met or scaled back.

These commitments, alongside keeping the Government’s ongoing costs “standing still”, made up the so-called £22 billion “black hole” in the public finances which Labour said it needs to fill.

However, Ms Reeves is said to have since identified a far larger £40 billion funding gap which she will seek to plug to protect key departments from real-terms cuts and put the economy on a firmer footing.

Wider economic gains being ignored in two-child limit debate, says think tank

Sunday 20 October 2024 17:35

Jabed Ahmed

The wider benefits of scrapping the two-child limit such as the future earnings potential of young people who avoid poverty as a result are being ignored, a think tank has said.

Prime minister Sir Keir Starmer has faced pressure, including from some of his own Labour MPs, since being elected in July to scrap the controversial Conservative policy but has insisted he cannot do so in the current economic climate.

The New Economics Foundation (NEF) said its UK-wide analysis suggests that retaining both the two-child limit and the benefit cap – which a number of campaigners have said should also be axed – could see almost half (49.4%) of families with three or more children living in relative poverty after housing costs by the end of this Parliament five years from now.

Scrapping both from April 2025 could cost the Government £2.5 billion a year, rising to £3.5 billion by 2029/30, the organisation said.

Much of these costs are taken up by the two-child limit at £1.9 billion and £2.6 billion respectively, the NEF said, but it argued this would be “significantly offset by short, medium and longer-term economic gains”.

Lib Dems will oppose national insurance increases

Sunday 20 October 2024 15:30

Jabed Ahmed

Liberal Democrats deputy leader Daisy Cooper said the party will oppose the increase of national insurance contributions for employers, if the rumoured policy is in the Government’s Budget later this month.

The party’s Treasury spokeswoman said she was worried about the impact on care providers, which could send some from a state of “crisis to collapse”.

Speaking to Trevor Phillips on Sky News, Ms Cooper said: “I think we are deeply uncomfortable about that proposal.

“One of our concerns in particular is that there are many very small care homes and small care providers around the country, and they… are on the cliff edge as it stands.

“If the Government were to put up employer contributions, particularly for these small businesses, for these small care homes, I think we might see many of them go from a state of crisis to a state of collapse with no choice but to close their doors.”

She went on to say: “The rumour as it stands is that the Government intend to raise the national insurance contributions on all companies, irrespective of whether they’re small or large… I think we probably end up having to vote no against that.”

UK faces ‘make or break moment’ in Budget, says Swinney

Sunday 20 October 2024 14:30

Jabed Ahmed

Scotland’s First Minister will use a speech on Monday to urge the Chancellor to increase spending, as he said the Budget presents a “make or break moment” for the UK.

First Minister John Swinney is expected to make his most outspoken intervention on the budget and push the Chancellor to invest in public services.

Speaking at an event in Edinburgh on Monday in front of academics, think tanks and representatives of the private, public and voluntary sector, the First Minister is expected to describe the past seven years – which has seen Brexit, the pandemic, the war in Ukraine and the subsequent energy price and inflation hikes – as a “long, dark economic winter”.

He will add: “What is needed now is a collective commitment to public investment for economic renewal, investment that will allow us to move into an economic spring, with new growth, new opportunities and new hope.”

Budget 2024: Inheritance tax set to rise – here’s what it means for you

Sunday 20 October 2024 13:30

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

Streeting says he cannot fix 14 years of NHS issues with one budget

Sunday 20 October 2024 12:30

Jabed Ahmed

Wes Streeting said he had reached a deal on NHS funding with the Chancellor, but could not fix the problems of the last 14 years in one Budget.

Asked about potential funding increases at the Budget, the Health Secretary told Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips: “I’m not going to get into specific figures.

“I’ve settled with the Chancellor, but we are not going to fix 14 years in one Budget.”

He also stressed the need for reform as well as investment in the NHS, saying he was “conscious” that money spent on health was money that could not be spent in other areas.

He added: “There isn’t a single part of Government and the public sector where there aren’t real crises.”

Streeting refuses to rule out income tax threshold freeze

Sunday 20 October 2024 11:49

Jabed Ahmed

Wes Streeting has refused to rule out that the Government will freeze income tax thresholds in the upcoming Budget.

Mr Streeting had previously voted against the measure in opposition while Rishi Sunak was prime minister.

Speaking on Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips on Sky News, Mr Streeting said: “I’m not going to speculate on what the Chancellor might do in the Budget.

“If you’re asking me whether I would vote against anything in the Chancellor’s Budget? The answer is no, of course I’m not going to do that.”

He went on to say: “This country is paying a heavy price for Conservative failure, and we’re going to have to make some big and difficult choices in this Budget to make sure we fix the foundations of the economy and we don’t end up back here.”

He later added: “What we’re not going to do is duck the difficult decisions, have Government by gimmick, short-term sticking plasters, because that is exactly how we ended up in this situation.”

Full report: Starmer denies election pledges will be broken as Reeves plans stealth taxes

Sunday 20 October 2024 10:17

Jabed Ahmed

image is not available

Reeves considers raising tax on vaping in Budget

Sunday 20 October 2024 09:03

Jabed Ahmed

Rachel Reeves is considering raising the tax on vaping products in the upcoming Budget as figures lay bare how many children access them in the UK, The Guardian reports.

The tax on vaping products was originally announced by the Conservatives in March, to come in to force in 2026. It is now understood that Ms Reeves could look to increase this.

Under current plans, the new rates from April 2026 will range from £1-3 per 10ml of liquid, depending on nicotine level.