Burnham warned against calling early election as ratings stall

PoliticsOpinion
1 Sep 2026 • 3:27 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

Burnham warned against calling early election as ratings stall

  • Leading polling experts say the initial surge in support that Labour received after Andy Burnham became prime minister has ended, warning against calling an early general election.
  • Professor Sir John Curtice and Lord Robert Hayward noted that Labour's poll ratings have stalled in the mid-20s, significantly below the 32 per cent achieved in the 2024 general election.
  • Experts suggest the brief polling boost was a standard response to replacing Sir Keir Starmer, alongside temporary dips in support for Reform UK and the Green Party.
  • Pollsters note that Labour and Reform UK remain closely matched, with Labour needing a sustained double-digit lead before considering a return to the ballot box.
  • The findings come as Mr Burnham prepares to address MPs to outline wider economic policies, including increased public control of key utilities, ahead of the October Budget.

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