Canada’s Mark Carney and his Liberal Party have claimed a remarkable election victory, following a campaign dominated by Donald Trump’s trade war, and in the aftermath of a deadly car-ramming attack in Vancouver.
However, Mr Carney has fallen short of winning an outright majority in parliament, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation projected on Tuesday, and his party will have to seek help from another, smaller party.
The Liberals were projected to win more of Parliament's 343 seats than the Conservatives – but the projected total of 169 would not be an outright majority, which would require at least 172 seats.
It still marks an impressive turnaround given the Conservatives were ahead in the polls by double digits a few months ago. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre even lost his own seat after earlier congratulating Mr Carney on the Liberals’ election win.
In his victory speech in Ottawa, Mr Carney declared that US president Donald Trump “is trying to break us so America can own us. That will never – that will never, ever happen.”
“We are over the shock of the American betrayal, but we should never forget the lessons,” he said, referring to the American president's threats to Canada's economy and its sovereignty, suggesting it should become the “51st state” of the US.
The two leaders did speak later on Tuesday, and Mr Trump congratulated Mr Carney, with both agreeing on the importance of Canada and the US “working together as independent, sovereign nations”, the Canadian prime minister’s office said.
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Canada election 2025
- Canadian PM's Liberals fall short of majority in parliament, broadcaster projects
- Carney says trade deal with Trump will happen 'on our terms' after his historic win
- Carney says Trump agrees Canada and US must work together as 'sovereign nations'
- Conservative leader Poilievre loses election – and his seat
- Watch: Carney makes dig at Trump in Canada election victory speech
In pics: Liberal Party supporters celebrate election win
05:20
,
Alisha Rahaman Sarkar
Carney speaks with Trump on call after election win
05:00
,
Alisha Rahaman Sarkar
Mark Carney spoke with US president Donald Trump about deepening defence and commercial ties between both nations, just hours after the Liberal party won the Canadian general election.
The two leaders agreed to meet in person in the near future, Globe and Mail reported, citing Mr Carney's office.
“President Trump congratulated prime minister Carney on his recent election,” according to the summary of the call between the two leaders.
“The leaders agreed on the importance of Canada and the United States working together – as independent, sovereign nations – for their mutual betterment."
What happens next in Canada?
04:30
,
Mike Bedigan
With the results of the Canadian election in, here’s what happens next:
Having won re-election, Mark Carney remains prime minister and does not need to be sworn in again.
He will reportedly name a cabinet and reconvene Canada's House of Commons within two weeks, before addressing his campaign promises. Another priority will be the annual budget, which is usually presented in March or April.
The Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre will have to figure out how to move forward, with the leader having lost his own seat.
The leader of the New Democrat Party Jagmeet Singh also lost his seat, and the party dropped down to a single-digit seat count for the first time in more than 30 years. CBC predicts the NDP will be looking at a complete overhaul.
Liberal MP-elect says he knew beating Poilievre ‘was possible’
04:15
,
Mike Bedigan
Liberal-elect Bruce Fanjoy has said that always knew that beating Pierre Poilievre in his own riding was possible.
Fanjoy got more than 50 per cent of the vote in the Ottawa-area riding of Carleton where he was up against the leader of the Conservative party.
Poilievre had held the area down for more than 20 years, winning seven consecutive elections, according to CBC.
Speaking to Power & Politics, Fanjoy said he worked in the riding for two years, "knocked on thousands of doors, [and] had thousands and thousands of conversations" with constituents there.
"And I got a good sense as to the mood of the riding," Fanjoy said. "In that time, Pierre was largely absent … and people felt taken for granted."
Trump dodges question about his 'role' in Canadian election
04:00
,
Mike Bedigan
In an interview to mark his first 100 days back in the White House, Donald Trump was quizzed over being a topic of interest in the Canadian Election.
“Canadians, many of them are really angry, curious about your talk about we're going to take over Canada is going to become the 51st state,” ABC’s Terry Moran told him.
“A lot of travel is down into the United States from around the world, like there's been reputational damage.”
“We’re doing great,” Trump replied. Instead of answering the question he went on to disagree that any damage had been done and insisted that tourism to the U.S. was “doing very well.”
Carney says mutually beneficial relationship between US and Canada gone
04:00
,
Alisha Rahaman Sarkar
The Liberal party's Mark Carney has stressed unity in the face of Washington's threats, adding that the mutually beneficial relationship Canada and the US had shared since World War II was gone.
"We are over the shock of the American betrayal, but we should never forget the lessons," Mr Carney said in his victory speech."
As I've been warning for months, America wants our land, our resources, our water, our country.
Who is Mark Carney? Canada’s prime minister who won an election fighting back against Trump
03:00
,
Tara Cobham
Prime minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party won Canada's federal election on Monday, capping a stunning turnaround in fortunes fuelled by US president Donald Trump's annexation threats and trade war.
Carney’s Liberals were projected by Canadian broadcasters to form a minority government. His party secured a dramatic fourth-straight term amid rising nationalist sentiment sparked by Trump’s threats to Canada’s economy and sovereignty.
In recent months, the former governor of the UK’s Bank of England has had to fight a war on two fronts. To the south he has had to contend with the Trump administration, which threatened then postponed crippling 25 per cent tariffs on Canada, as well as taunted the country with the outlandish possibility of making it the 51st US state.
Internally, Carney, 60, has had to convince Canadians he is different enough from his Liberal predecessor, Justin Trudeau, but remains the best person to helm the country.
Here’s what you need to know about Carney, a man who’s already managed to influence the world stage for years despite never holding elective office:
White House doubles down on '51st state' calls
02:30
,
Tara Cobham
The Canadian election “does not affect President Trump's plan to make Canada America's cherished 51st state”, White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said in a statement issued on Tuesday.
However, Mark Carney spoke with Mr Trump, and the two leaders "agreed on the importance of Canada and the United States working together – as independent, sovereign nations – for their mutual betterment," the Canadian prime minister’s office said in a statement later in the day. The pair “agreed to meet in person in the near future”.
Most Americans believe Trump’s threats over Canada but don’t approve, poll finds
02:00
,
Tara Cobham
A new poll has found that most Americans believe President Donald Trump when he says that he wants to take control of Canada and Greenland, deport and imprison U.S. citizens, and run for an unconstitutional third term.
The poll also shows that they don't like what they're hearing.
According to a Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos poll that spoke to 2,464 Americans about Trump's ideas, a majority — 62 percent — said they believe the president is being serious about running for a third term, despite it being unconstitutional.
My colleague Graig Graziosi reports:
Poilievre vows to keep fighting for Canadians
01:30
,
Tara Cobham
In a concession speech before the race call on his own seat, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to keep fighting for Canadians.
"We are cognizant of the fact that we didn't get over the finish line yet," Mr Poilievre said. "We know that change is needed, but change is hard to come by. It takes time. It takes work. And that's why we have to learn the lessons of tonight."
Watch: Carney makes dig at Trump in Canada election victory speech
01:00
,
Tara Cobham
Comment: Donald Trump has met his match in Mark Carney
Wednesday 30 April 2025 00:30
,
Tara Cobham
Elbows up, Canada! It’s often remarked that Mark Carney, former governor of the Bank of England and newly elected prime minister of Canada, owes his rise to Donald Trump. This is only partly true.
President Trump’s childish remarks – about how his northern neighbour would be better off as the 51st state, about former “governor” Justin Trudeau, and how America was “subsidising” Canada by hundreds of millions of dollars a year – certainly re-awakened a keen sense of national pride in Canadians. It also inflicted deep damage on Trump’s nominal local ally, Pierre Poilevre.
But it was the Canadian people who decided to use their democratic rights to defy Trump. Rightly tired of being mocked and told what to do, they could have opted for someone more congenial to Trump; they were in no mood to do so.
Sean O’Grady writes:
Trump's tariff threats played major role in Liberals' election win, polling chief says
Wednesday 30 April 2025 00:00
,
Tara Cobham
A polling chief has said the threat of Trump’s tariffs played a major role in the Liberals’ election win.
"It was the 'anybody-but-Conservative' factor, it was the Trump tariff factor, and then it was the Trudeau departure ... which enabled a lot of left-of-center voters and traditional Liberal voters to come back to the party," said Shachi Kurl, president of the Angus Reid Institute polling firm.
Carney to name cabinet and reconvene Commons within two weeks, report Canadian media
Tuesday 29 April 2025 23:30
,
Tara Cobham
Mark Carney is set to name a cabinet and reconvene Canada's House of Commons within two weeks, reported the Globe and Mail newspaper, citing a senior Liberal official.
Another priority will be the annual budget, which is usually presented in March or April.
Carney warns coming months to be challenging
Tuesday 29 April 2025 23:00
,
Tara Cobham
Mark Carney has warned the coming months would be challenging and require sacrifices.
The Canadian prime minister has promised a tough approach to Washington's import tariffs and said Canada would need to spend billions to reduce its reliance on the US.
Kim Zapf, a 74-year-old voter from Alberta, expressed confidence that Carney would be able to deal with Donald Trump.
"I think Carney is mature enough that he can sit down with Trump and not make it a confrontation ... Trump is all into deals, and I think Carney's a good person to negotiate deals," he said during a trip to Toronto.
Mr Carney also has to deal with Danielle Smith, the conservative premier of the western oil-producing province of Alberta, who complains the Liberals have undermined national unity with climate policies she says are designed to hurt the energy industry.
"A large majority of Albertans are deeply frustrated that the same government that overtly attacked our provincial economy almost unabated for the past 10 years has been returned to government," she said in a statement.
Minority governments in Canada rarely last longer than 2-1/2 years.
Voter turnout on track to be best in decade, according to estimates
Tuesday 29 April 2025 22:32
,
Tara Cobham
Voter turnout is on track to be the best in a decade, according to Elections Canada.
It is estimating more than 67 per cent of the eligible voter population turned out for this election, with 19.2 million ballots cast – the highest number since 2015, reported CBC News.
Watch: MAGA sycophant asks Karoline Leavitt if Canada becoming 51st state is 'Trump trolling or Trump truthing'
Tuesday 29 April 2025 22:30
,
Tara Cobham
US ambassador lays out vision for US-Canada relations
Tuesday 29 April 2025 22:19
,
Tara Cobham
The US ambassador to Canada has laid out his vision for US-Canada relations, including strengthening trade, securing borders, fighting fentanyl, and building defense and security cooperation.
Pete Hoekstra’s comments come at a time when the relationship between the two countries is strained after US president Donald Trump has made repeated calls for Canada to become America’s “51st state”.
Watch ⬇️ as @USAmbCanada Pete Hoekstra lays out his vision for U.S.-Canada relations: strengthening trade, securing borders, fighting fentanyl, and building defense and security cooperation. pic.twitter.com/4VuRYvjM8j
— U.S. Embassy Ottawa (@usembassyottawa) April 29, 2025
Carney spoke to Trump and leaders agreed to meet in near future, says Canada
Tuesday 29 April 2025 21:47
,
Tara Cobham
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney spoke to US President Donald Trump on Tuesday, who congratulated the Canadian leader on Monday's election win, Mr Carney's office said in a statement.
"The leaders agreed on the importance of Canada and the United States working together as independent, sovereign nations for their mutual betterment. To that end, the leaders agreed to meet in person in the near future," it said.
Carney says Trump agrees Canada and US must work together as 'sovereign nations'
Tuesday 29 April 2025 21:44
,
Tara Cobham
The Canadian prime minister’s office has said that Mark Carney and Donald Trump have agreed on the importance of Canada and the US working together as “independent, sovereign nations – for their mutual betterment”.
The two leaders spoke on Tuesday following Mr Carney’s win in Canada’s election – and in the wake of repeated calls by Mr Trump’s for Canada to become America’s “51st state”.
Two tight Liberal wins set to go to recounts, Canadian media report
Tuesday 29 April 2025 21:24
Two tight Liberal wins are set to go to recounts, according to reports in Canadian media.
CBC News reported Terra Nova-The Peninsulas in Newfoundland and Labrador, and Terrebonne in Quebec, are both going to automatic judicial recounts, which happen when the vote difference between top candidates is 0.1 per cent or less.
Canadian PM's Liberals fall short of majority in parliament, broadcaster projects
Tuesday 29 April 2025 21:00
,
Tara Cobham
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals have fallen short of winning an outright majority in parliament, the Canadian Broadcasting Corp. projected on Tuesday, and the party will have to seek help from other another, smaller party.
The Liberals were projected to win more of Parliament's 343 seats than the Conservatives. But the projected total of 169 would not be an outright majority, which would require at least 172 seats.
ANALYSIS: With Canada’s stunning electoral rebuke and doubts over China trade talks, has Trump’s bluster reached its expiration point?
Tuesday 29 April 2025 21:00
,
Tara Cobham
Republicans were hard at work this week in Washington as the party tries to sell their record of accomplishments over Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office.
But on Monday night, Canada delivered a resounding rebuke of the United States and Trump’s trade agenda, leaving the end of his trade war appearing further away than ever. The administration, having yet to announce a single major deal resulting from Trump’s escalated “reciprocal” tariffs, is facing more and more scrutiny over its endgame.
Mark Carney will serve a full term as prime minister after his Liberal party won a resounding victory in Canada’s elections, bolstered by support for a firm line the party has taken against Trump’s trade negotiation tactics. In his victory speech, Carney even referenced the US president’s repeated claim that Canada should join the United States.
The Independent’s Washington DC Correspondent John Bowden writes:
Everything Canada’s prime minister Mark Carney has said about Trump
Tuesday 29 April 2025 20:30
At the start of this year, the Liberals looked all but certain to drift to defeat when the country next went to the polls amid growing frustration over their party’s failure to rein-in inflation under Justin Trudeau, with Pierre Poilievre waiting in the wings ready to pounce.
But the inauguration of Donald Trump across the border saw Canadians – angered by the American’s “51st state” rhetoric and imposition of 25 percent tariffs – band together in a surge of patriotism.
They rallied around Mark Carney, backing the experienced economist as the right man to steer them through Trump’s trade war and shunning the right-leaning Poilievre, who suddenly found himself left out in the cold.
Here’s everything Carney has had to say about his American counterpart since succeeding Trudeau earlier this year:
Trump handed Carney his victory – now he could make or break Canada’s new government
Tuesday 29 April 2025 20:00
In truth, Mark Carney’s victory owed almost as much to the loud noises-off coming from south of the border as they did to the novice politician’s campaigning skills, Mary Dejevsky writes.
Premier of Ontario congratulates Carney and calls for protection of Canada amid Trump's tariff threats
Tuesday 29 April 2025 19:41
,
Tara Cobham
Premier of Ontario Doug Ford has congratulated Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on his election victory and called on “all levels of government to work together to protect Canada” amid the threat of Donald Trump’s tariffs.
In a statement issued today, Mr Ford said: “This election comes at a crucial time for Ontario and for Canada. Workers, families and businesses are navigating the economic uncertainty caused by President Trump’s tariffs and they are counting on all levels of government to work together to protect Canada.”
He added: “As Premier of Ontario, I look forward to working with Prime Minister Carney to protect the workers, businesses and communities of Ontario and Canada.”
Macron congratulates Carney on election win
Tuesday 29 April 2025 19:33
,
Tara Cobham
Emmanuel Macron has spoken with Mark Carney to congratulate him on his election win.
The French president said he and the Canadian prime minister “reviewed the joint projects between Canada and France, as well as the challenges ahead of the G7 Summit in Kananaskis this June”.
Excellent discussion with Prime Minister @MarkJCarney. I congratulated him on his election, and we reviewed the joint projects between Canada and France, as well as the challenges ahead of the G7 Summit in Kananaskis this June.
— Emmanuel Macron (@EmmanuelMacron) April 29, 2025
Brazil’s president suggests advancing trade talks with Canada
Tuesday 29 April 2025 19:19
,
Rachel Clun
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has congratulated Mark Carney on his election victory, and has suggested advancing trade talks between Canada and South America’s Mercosur bloc.
Wishing prosperity to Canada, Lula said in a post on X that Brazil wants to work to strengthen the bilateral relationship between the countries.
“We want to deepen our cooperation in areas of mutual interest, such as the promotion and protection of human rights and the fight against climate change,” he said, in a translated post.
“We are interested in advancing negotiations for a trade agreement between Mercosur and Canada to diversify and expand our exchanges.”
The Mercosur bloc includes Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay as well as Brazil, and has had rounds of negotiations over a trade deal with Canada in the past.
Results show 'people make decisions not polls', says Bloc Québécois leader Blanchet
Tuesday 29 April 2025 19:01
,
Tara Cobham
Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet has said Canada’s election results highlight how “people make the decisions, not polls”.
Mr Blanchet – who is the only main opposition leader to have managed to keep his seat in the country’s parliament – said all of the parties received unexpected results, demonstrating that power “is in the hands of those who vote”.
The BBC reported Mr Blanchet – whose party is projected to lose seats overall – told a press conference following the election: “We've got to respect that and never take anything for granted.”
When asked if Canada’s election results were a consequence of Donald Trump’s tariff threats, Mr Blanchet said: “It's at once the threat from the White House and the very clever use of the fear in the population by the Liberals.”
He continued on tariffs: “If we are patient enough we will prevail in that negotiation. The best way for us to achieve that is through an alliance... If Canada wants to be strong, it also needs us.”
Trump drove supporters from minor parties
Tuesday 29 April 2025 18:50
,
Rachel Clun
Tensions with the US over trade and sovereignty drove voters away from minor parties in the Canadian federal election, helping to drive the rout of the National Democratic Party.
NDP leader Jagmeet Singh announced he would stand down as leader as he lost his seat, with the party expected to cling on to seven seats, down from its previous 24.
The Greens also only won one seat.
Ex-Canadian Conservative PM congratulates Carney
Tuesday 29 April 2025 18:21
,
Tara Cobham
Former Conservative prime minister of Canada Stephen Harper has congratulated Mark Carney and his Liberal Party.
Mr Harper highlighted the importance of protecting Canada’s independence.
In the post on X today, he said: “Yesterday’s federal election was the 45th in the proud history of Canada’s democracy.
“I want to extend my sincere congratulations to Prime Minister Carney on the results his party achieved. I wish him, and the government he will lead, success as they navigate our country forward during these challenging times. I also want to congratulate Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada on making significant gains, both in seats and popular vote, and bringing an entire new generation of Canadians to the Conservative Party.
“To all candidates, campaign volunteers and election workers who participated in this election: thank you for your contribution to our democratic process, one that so many brave Canadians have sacrificed so much to defend. Their legacy is the proud and independent country we must always serve and protect. The True North, Strong and Free.”
Yesterday’s federal election was the 45th in the proud history of Canada’s democracy.
— Stephen Harper (@stephenharper) April 29, 2025
I want to extend my sincere congratulations to Prime Minister Carney on the results his party achieved. I wish him, and the government he will lead, success as they navigate our country…
Who is Mark Carney?
Tuesday 29 April 2025 18:21
,
Rachel Clun
Mark Carney has promised to stand up for his country amid trade war with the US president.
But who is the man behind the stunning election win?
Pictured: Carney arriving at his office after historic win
Tuesday 29 April 2025 18:16
,
Tara Cobham
Vote counting resumes in Canada, with answer on whether Carney gains majority expected on Tuesday
Tuesday 29 April 2025 18:08
,
Tara Cobham
As Canada's Liberals celebrated election victory in a stunning turn of fortune, vote counting resumed on Tuesday to determine whether prime minister Mark Carney's party gains an outright majority or needs help in Parliament from a smaller party, with the result expected later in the day.
The vote-counting agency Elections Canada said the counting of special ballots – cast by voters who are away from their districts during the election – has resumed. When the counting was paused early on Tuesday, the Liberals were leading or elected in 168 seats, four short of a majority. Elections Canada estimated that uncounted votes could affect the result in about a dozen districts.
Poilievre could have to concede Conservative leadership, expert says
Tuesday 29 April 2025 17:50
,
Rachel Clun, AP
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre vowed to keep fighting for Canadians as he conceded his party had lost the election on Monday night.
But that was before it became clear that Poilievre, a career politician, was likely to lose his own race.
McGill University political science professor Daniel Beland said nothing prevents Poilievre from remaining the Conservative leader without a seat but, if he decides to stay, he would need to run in another district - perhaps by asking a Conservative member of Parliament from a safe Conservative district to resign.
"Still, losing your seat when some people within your own party think you're the main reason why it failed to win is a clear issue for Poilievre," Beland said.
"Moreover, not having the leader of the official opposition in the House of Commons when Parliament sits again would obviously be a problem for the Conservatives, especially if we do end up with a minority Parliament."
Conservative leader Poilievre loses election – and his seat
Tuesday 29 April 2025 17:47
,
Tara Cobham
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, who just three months ago had looked certain to sweep the polls, has lost his seat in the Ontario district of Carleton to Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy.
And with almost all votes counted, results from Elections Canada showed that the Liberals had won 168 electoral districts on Monday, followed by the Conservatives with 144.
Carney says trade deal with Trump will happen 'on our terms' after his historic win
Tuesday 29 April 2025 17:41
,
Tara Cobham
Mark Carney has said that Canada will deal with Donald Trump “on our terms” after his historic election win.
As the polls were closing, the Canadian prime minister pledged to only visit Washington once a “serious discussion” that respects Canada’s sovereignty can be had.
In response to the US president’s repeated calls for Canada to become the “51st state”, Mr Carney told the BBC that was “never, ever going to happen”.
He added: “Frankly, I don't think it's ever going to happen with respect to any other [country]... whether it's Panama or Greenland or elsewhere.”
Mr Carney also described securing a deal with the US over trade and security while building on trading relationships with the EU and the UK as a “win-win possibility” for his country.
Canada’s election in numbers
Tuesday 29 April 2025 17:20
,
Rachel Clun
The Liberal Party under Mark Carney secured a win just shy of a majority with the Conservatives seeing their best performance in 14 years.
Data correspondent Alicja Hagopian has looked at the data, with 99 per cent of results reported so far: