El Nino: Will polar vortex take place in UK this month? Experts have their say

Environment
28 Oct 2026 • 2:43 AM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

El Nino: Will polar vortex take place in UK this month? Experts have their say

  • Forecasters warn freezing Arctic temperatures could sweep into North America and Europe as early as November due to a weakening polar vortex.
  • The ongoing El Niño weather phenomenon is disrupting the high-altitude ring of cold winds above the Arctic, causing wind speeds to drop rapidly.
  • A weakened polar vortex can cause the jet stream to snake, sending severe cold air southwards towards northern Europe and the UK.
  • Data from Nasa indicates that wind circulation within the stratospheric polar vortex will weaken significantly between late October and early November.
  • The Met Office has warned that the combined impact of sudden stratospheric warming and El Niño increases the likelihood of prolonged cold snaps and snow this winter.

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