- Polling expert Sir John Curtice has warned that the upcoming Holborn and St Pancras by-election could be a “make or break” test for Green Party leader Zack Polanski.
- The contest was triggered by the decision of Sir Keir Starmer to step down as an MP to focus on new work in international affairs.
- Prof Curtice compared the situation to Andy Burnham's recent by-election in Makerfield, noting that the seat presents a tough test for the Greens given Labour's historical strength.
- He said that Mr Polanski has “got a chance” of winning the by-election, but it is “probably not a high chance”.
- Labour remains the favourite to win the constituency it has held since 1983, though opposition to the party's stance on Gaza could affect its support.
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