How war in the Middle East could affect UK interest rates

WorldBusiness & Finance
9 Mar 2026 • 8:26 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

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  • The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is raising concerns about soaring energy prices and potential inflation in the UK.
  • This situation could prompt the Bank of England to pause its recent interest rate cuts or even consider raising rates, contrary to earlier expectations.
  • Analysts now predict the Bank of England will likely hold rates at its upcoming March meeting, with a 'wait-and-see' approach expected.
  • Rising interest rates would negatively impact mortgage holders through increased costs, while savers could benefit from better returns on their deposits.
  • The shift in market outlook from anticipated rate cuts to a potential hold or rise reflects increased volatility and the Bank of England's limited ability to overlook inflationary shocks.

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