- Researchers from the University of Texas at Austin and Hunter College found no robust evidence that falling global fertility rates will rebound or stabilize.
- Data from the United Nations, Japan, India, and the United States indicate that once fertility rates fall low, they tend to continue declining.
- US births have dropped by nearly a quarter since 2007, with older adults projected to account for 23.4 percent of the national population by 2060.
- Deaths now outpace births in more than half of US states, contributing to a slowed population growth rate of 0.5 percent between July 2024 and July 2025.
- Demographic experts suggest US population growth will remain at historically low levels or potentially shrink unless immigration increases significantly over the next two decades.
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