Obama beats Trump by double-digit margin in hypothetical election poll

Politics
1 Aug 2025 • 7:01 AM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

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  • A hypothetical poll conducted by Daily Mail and J.L. Partners suggests Barack Obama would significantly defeat Donald Trump in a 2028 presidential election.
  • The survey of 1,013 registered voters found Obama leading Donald Trump by a double-digit margin, with 52 percent favoring Obama and 41 percent backing Donald Trump.
  • Obama demonstrated strong support among Hispanic, Black, and Independent voters in the hypothetical matchup.
  • Trump has repeatedly mused over the possibility of a third presidential term, despite being barred by the 22nd Amendment of the Constitution – which prohibits anyone from being elected president more than twice.
  • While Obama comfortably beat Trump, the poll indicated Trump would narrowly defeat other potential Democratic challengers such as Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden in hypothetical matchups.

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