OPINION | Sabah’s Election: The State That Keeps Malaysia Guessing and Anwar’s Political Lifeline

Opinion
12 Nov 2025 • 5:30 PM MYT
Annan Vaithegi
Annan Vaithegi

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In Malaysia’s political theatre, Sabah has always played the unpredictable wildcard. Its people, resources, and votes have shaped governments and shaped the narrative of the nation, yet its voice has often been overlooked. Now, as the state election approaches, the stakes are higher than ever. The federal government’s recent announcement that it will not appeal the High Court ruling affirming Sabah’s 40% revenue entitlement has brought both hope and skepticism to the state.

A Long-Awaited Recognition

Since joining the Federation in 1963, Sabah has been promised a share of its resources through the Malaysia Agreement and constitutional provisions such as Article 112C and 112D. This 40% revenue entitlement was meant to recognize the state’s contribution to national income from oil, gas, and other resources. For decades, however, these promises have been delayed, reinterpreted, or outright ignored. The High Court’s ruling in October was a rare moment of judicial recognition, affirming that Sabah’s claims were legitimate and overdue.

Political Timing and Strategic Moves

The timing of the AGC’s announcement so close to the state election is more than coincidental. It positions the federal government and Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim as responsive and attentive, projecting a narrative of fairness and constitutional respect. Yet Sabahans, seasoned by years of unfulfilled promises, are cautious. The declaration is important, but the details how much will be paid, on what timeline, and with what guarantees remain vague.

Consequently, the federal government has stated it will immediately initiate negotiations with the Sabah state government. But this raises questions. PMX himself claimed that the federal government has already given “more than 40%” through various allocations. If that is accurate, what is left to negotiate? Moreover, a technical committee, chaired by Deputy Prime Minister II in 2023, was tasked with developing a formula to resolve the 40% claim within 12 months, starting from 18 July 2023. That deadline has long passed with no resolution in sight. This so-called “will not appeal” move, therefore, risks being seen as an election gimmick rather than a genuine step toward justice.

Historical Context and the Federal-Sabah Relationship

Sabah’s financial struggles and delayed entitlements are not new. Over the decades, the state has contributed significantly to the national treasury, yet infrastructure projects, education, and healthcare have lagged behind the peninsula. Promises of revenue sharing often failed to translate into tangible outcomes, fueling frustration among Sabahans and local leaders alike. Every new federal administration promised reform, but most left with only rhetoric, leaving Sabah in a cycle of deferred development.

This historical context underscores the importance of genuine action. It is not simply about money; it is about recognition, dignity, and equality within the federation. The 40% entitlement represents more than fiscal justice it is a symbol of the federal government honoring its commitment to Sabah’s sovereignty and people.

The Election Battlefield

The upcoming state election is shaping up to be a critical test for Anwar and his unity government. Local parties like GRS, BN, Warisan, and smaller groups are recalibrating strategies, keenly aware that federal promises and Sabah-specific gains could sway voters. The AGC’s non-appeal announcement offers the prime minister a narrative of achievement, but as always in Sabah, the electorate demands proof in results, not statements.

Warisan, led by Shafie Apdal, will likely highlight decades of federal neglect to rally support. GRS and BN will emphasize stability and continuity, while PH seeks to showcase the federal government’s responsiveness. The tension between symbolic gestures and concrete delivery will dominate campaign discourse, and the electorate is well-informed, demanding accountability and transparency.

Anwar’s Political Gamble

Anwar Ibrahim stands at a crossroads. If he is seen as the leader who respected the court ruling and delivered results for Sabah, it bolsters his credibility not just locally but nationally. Success in Sabah could reinforce the unity government’s position, strengthen federal coalitions, and serve as a model of constitutional fidelity and inclusive governance. Conversely, failure to translate the ruling into tangible outcomes could erode trust, not only in the state but across Malaysia, exposing the administration to criticism of inconsistency and political opportunism.

Sabahans: Watchful and Wary

Sabahans have learned to balance hope with caution. The 40% ruling is a milestone, but history reminds them that delivery matters more than announcements. The electorate is increasingly savvy: it knows to demand specifics, monitor timelines, and hold leaders accountable. Civil society organizations, local councils, and community leaders play a crucial role in ensuring that promises are implemented and not diluted through bureaucratic delay.

Beyond Numbers: Identity and Equity

This election is not merely about revenue percentages; it is about Sabah asserting itself as a full partner within Malaysia. Decades of marginalization have fostered a desire for greater autonomy, transparency, and development. The 40% entitlement is intertwined with broader issues: education access, healthcare, economic empowerment, and indigenous rights. Voters are looking beyond the ballot to the long-term trajectory of their state within the federation.

A Call to Action

For Sabah, the moment is now. Election rhetoric and federal assurances must be matched with actionable plans, timelines, and oversight. Sabah’s leaders and voters alike must demand clarity, resist symbolic gestures, and ensure that the 40% entitlement translates into meaningful progress. This is a pivotal opportunity to reshape the state’s trajectory, secure constitutional rights, and influence the broader political landscape.

Anwar’s government may seek to portray itself as the benefactor, but real power rests with Sabahans. Their vigilance, engagement, and insistence on accountability will determine whether this court victory becomes a turning point or another footnote in a long history of deferred promises.

Sabah has the chance to reclaim its destiny. It must seize it not as a gift, not as a gesture, but as a right enshrined in law and justice.

Annan Vaithegi


Annan Vaithegi (annanvaithegi@icloud.com) is a content creator under the Newswav Creator programme, where you get to express yourself, be a citizen journalist, and at the same time monetize your content & reach millions of users on Newswav. Log in to creator.newswav.com and become a Newswav Creator now!

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