Reform fall to third in polls as Labour’s ‘Burnham bounce’ continues

WorldPolitics
24 Sep 2026 • 8:31 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

Reform fall to third in polls as Labour’s ‘Burnham bounce’ continues

  • Rising polling support for the Labour government under prime minister Andy Burnham has fuelled speculation about a potential early general election.
  • A recent YouGov poll shows Reform UK falling to third place behind the Conservatives, though Labour would still be left short of an overall majority on 241 seats.
  • The upcoming Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer's resignation from parliament, is being viewed as a key test for calling a national vote.
  • Opposition parties, including the Liberal Democrats, have already begun preparations for a potential early election.
  • Polling expert Sir John Curtice has urged caution on calling a vote, warning that Labour would risk three years in government for a small potential gain.

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