Report warns of Iran war’s prolonged impact on grocery bills

WorldBusiness & Finance
26 May 2026 • 1:27 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

Report warns of Iran war’s prolonged impact on grocery bills

  • British households are facing persistently high prices for essential food items, with a new report attributing this trend to ongoing global events such as the Middle East crisis and the El Nino weather pattern.
  • Analysis from the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit shows food prices “shoot up like rockets but drift down like feathers”, meaning consumers face elevated grocery bills long after initial disruptions.
  • The think tank's findings, based on over three decades of UK data, indicate that shelf prices recover only 1 per cent of their original increase after six months and just 7 per cent after two years.
  • The research shows that only 35 per cent of the initial affordability impact is unwound within two years when adjusted for wages.
  • Experts warn that food prices are on track to be 50 per cent higher by November compared to mid-2021 levels, with climate change and energy volatility expected to make shocks more frequent and severe.

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