- Electoral Calculus forecasts Nigel Farage would secure a 74-seat majority if an election were held tomorrow, as Reform UK gains traction.
- The forecast indicates Labour would drop to 136 seats, while the Conservatives would plummet to 22.
- A Techne UK poll for The Independent shows Reform at a record high of 31 per cent, surpassing Labour at 22 per cent and nearly doubling the Conservatives' 16 per cent.
- Experts caution against over-interpreting polls, noting that geographical vote distribution is crucial, but others suggest Reform has reached a critical point.
- Keir Starmer has intensified attacks on Farage, warning his policies would be as damaging as Liz Truss's, while Reform dismisses these claims as 'project fear 2.0'.
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