Starmer’s leadership in doubt as Labour faces local elections wipeout

PoliticsOpinion
5 May 2026 • 2:18 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

Starmer’s leadership in doubt as Labour faces local elections wipeout

  • Leading pollster Sir John Curtice believes Sir Keir Starmer is unlikely to lead Labour into the next general election, saying it is a question of “when, not if” he resigns.
  • Meanwhile, polling expert Lord Hayward predicts Labour could face a “drastic” loss of over 75 per cent of the council seats they are defending this week, equating to 1,850 losses.
  • Reform UK is projected to be the biggest winner in the local elections, gaining 1,550 seats, while the Green Party is expected to pick up 500.
  • The elections are seen as a moment of severe peril for the prime minister, with challenges including the Peter Mandelson scandal and record-low economic optimism.
  • Despite the anticipated poor results, some analysts suggest Sir Keir might retain his position due to the absence of an obvious successor.

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