NEW YORK, May 30 — Stock markets fell Wednesday as investors locked in profits after indicators and comments from central bankers further dented hopes for interest rate cuts.
A forecast-beating report Tuesday on US consumer confidence was the latest evidence that the economy is not slowing fast enough to allow the Federal Reserve to cut borrowing costs any time soon.
Then a higher-than-expected inflation report in Australia early Wednesday soured the mood in Asian trading.
The dollar gained on the higher for longer rates outlook.
US Treasury yields — a proxy for interest rates — moved higher after there was weak demand for notes at a Treasury auction Tuesday.
“The rise in yields reflects sticky inflation concerns and higher interest rate expectations after stronger-than-expected US consumer confidence data yesterday and following hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials,” said Fiona Cincotta, a market analyst at StoneX.
All three major US indexes retreated, with the Dow dropping the most at 1.1 per cent. That left it at 38,441.54 after the index topped 40,000 earlier this month.
On Wednesday, the Fed’s latest “beige book” of economic conditions pointed to a somewhat gloomier outlook, although economic activity remained positive from early April to mid-May.
The next major US indicator is Friday’s Personal Consumption Index, the Federal Reserve’s favourite inflation index.
“Friday’s PCE report will be the most important release this week,” said Collin Martin, director of fixed income strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.
“We believe inflation is sticky and not stuck, but a slower pace of disinflation could end up resulting in fewer rate cuts down the road,” he said.
Friday also sees eurozone inflation data for May, and a further cooling would reaffirm expectations of a June rate reduction from the European Central Bank.
Data on Wednesday showed inflation in Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, accelerated to 2.4 per cent in May, though analysts said it was due to one-off factors and would not affect the ECB’s rate-cut move.
Still, the main stock markets in Europe all closed lower, following on from weak markets in Asia and New York’s gloomy opening.
Among individual stocks, Anglo American shares fell 5.2 per cent in London after the mining giant rejected a request from BHP to extend a Wednesday deadline for takeover talks, with BHP saying later it would not be making another offer.
Expectations that interest rates could drop earlier in Europe than in the US helped firm up the dollar against most of its peers.
In commodity trading, oil prices initially rose for what would have been the fourth day after a bulk carrier was attacked in the Red Sea, a key waterway for tankers shipping crude. But prices later retreated.
Key figures around 2050 GMT
New York - Dow: DOWN 1.1 per cent at 38,441.54 (close)
New York - S&P 500: DOWN 0.7 per cent at 5,266.95 (close)
New York - Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.6 per cent at 16,920.58 (close)
London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.9 per cent at 8,183.70 points (close)
Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 1.5 per cent at 7,935.03 (close)
Frankfurt - DAX: DOWN 1.1 per cent at 18,473.29 (close)
EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.3 per cent at 4,963.20 (close)
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.8 per cent at 38,556.87 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.8 per cent at 18,477.01 (close)
Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.1 per cent at 3,111.02 (close)
Dollar/yen: UP at 157.70 from 157.17 yen on Tuesday
Euro/dollar: DOWN at US$1.0804 from US$1.0857
Pound/dollar: DOWN at US$1.2702 from US$1.2762
Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.03 from 85.07 pence
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.8 per cent at US$79.23 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.76 per cent at US$83.60 per barrel
— AFP