Western leaders step up diplomatic, economic engagements with China amid global uncertainty

WorldPolitics
11 Feb 2026 • 12:01 AM MYT
The Manila Times
The Manila Times

One of the longest-running English broadsheets in the Philippines

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UNITED Kingdom Prime Minister Keir Starmer wrapped up his four-day visit to China on Feb. 1, 2026, with a full red-carpet treatment of being successively received by the top three figures in Chinese politics: President Xi Jinping, Premier Li Qiang and National People’s Congress Chairman Zhao Leji.

The first British leader to visit China in eight years, Prime Minister Starmer’s scheduled formal one-on-one interview with President Xi on Jan. 29 extended to 80 minutes from the original 40 minutes.

It was on this occasion, ahead of the British leader’s visit to the Forbidden City, that Xi said to Starmer: “China stands ready to work with Britain in upholding a grand view of history, rising above differences, and promoting mutual respect, in order to translate the promising potential of cooperation into remarkable accomplishments, open up new vistas for China-Britain relations and cooperation to better benefit both the two peoples and the world at large.”

While both officials described the meeting as productive, warm and constructive, the wording was particularly unorthodox in a diplomatic setting, with Xi invoking “grand view of history.”

President Xi brought up the concept of the “grand view of history” in February 2021, when urging a room full of Party seniors to study history ahead of the upcoming centenary of the Communist Party of China.

“Efforts should be made to educate and guide the entire Party to take into account China’s pursuit of national rejuvenation strategy amid global changes of a scale unseen in a century, develop a grand view of history, examine the dynamics of change and identify historical patterns from the long course of history, the tide of the times, and the global landscape, formulate corresponding strategies and policies, and advance our work with a holistic, foresighted, and innovative approach,” Xi remarked at the conference.

As a distinctly Party terminology rooted in Marxist ideology, the “grand view of history” has since been rarely invoked in public, even when the top leader addressed Party cadres.

To deploy such an ideological term during a meeting with a visiting foreign head of government was, therefore, a highly calculated move, coded with subtext.

On the flight to Beijing, Starmer cautioned that Sino-British relations must not veer from a “golden age” to an “ice age.”

But the remarks about a “grand view of history” appeared to reflect Beijing’s perspective on that trajectory, namely, London’s abandonment of its commitment to the “golden age” made a decade ago.

When Xi paid his first state visit to Britain in 2015, it was just over a decade after the two countries had established a “comprehensive strategic partnership.”

At the time, Britain was China’s second-largest trading partner and the top investment destination in Europe.

London had positioned itself as a trailblazer in finance, becoming the first Western nation to issue sovereign RMB bonds and the earliest major Western power to join the Beijing-initiated Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.

Barbara Woodward, then British ambassador to China, announced that the visit would establish “a global partnership for the 21st century and ushering in a golden decade in China-UK relations.”

The ensuing “golden decade,” however, played out in precisely the opposite direction.

Months after US President Donald Trump’s 2017 Forbidden City tour, Washington launched the first round of the trade war on China.

Britain, following Washington’s footsteps in containment strategy, adopted an increasingly adversarial posture toward Beijing on issues such as Hong Kong riots, Xinjiang cotton, “derisking” in supply chains, and technology blockade against China, effectively dismantling the shared vision for deepening bilateral ties.

Today, as the US casts covetous eyes on Greenland, denigrates the memory of fallen British soldiers, and threatens a tariff onslaught against the transatlantic partnership under the so-called “Donroe Doctrine,” London’s move to mend ties with Beijing feels less like a strategic pivot than a desperate hedge against “Discordia Americana.”

From Beijing’s standpoint, this sudden diplomatic warm-up appears woefully lacking in a genuine long-term historical vision.

Britain’s overtures look like the latest policy oscillation driven by the fickle whims of Washington.

A leading Chinese scholar on US politics once likened the US-Europe relationship to a marriage: they may “quarrel at the headboard but they reconcile at the foot of the bed.”

This Chinese idiom captures the prevailing sentiment in Chinese strategic circles: for all the recent frictions, the West remains an exclusive, if temporarily dysfunctional, club.

While Western politicians such as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney fret over a “rupture” in the post-Cold War order, for much of the Global South, there is no sign of a break – only the continuation of a US-led hegemony under which they have long lived.

The “grand view of history” may well serve as a pointed reminder to European leaders not to succumb to amnesia in the wake of Trumpian shocks.

What Beijing truly seeks is for Britain to act as a “major power” in global affairs, a term Xi repeatedly used during his 2015 state visit.

He used it again on Jan. 27, albeit in guarded terms: “International law can only work when all countries obey it, and major powers must lead by example, or the world will return to the law of the jungle.”

China does not seek an ally in Britain; it instead asks for a partner with independent strategic thinking, one capable of injecting certainty into the increasingly volatile global system.

During the decade once heralded as the “golden decade,” Britain seemed to have voluntarily surrendered the very “major power” identity Beijing invokes.

The self-demoting nature of Britain’s foreign policy diverges sharply from how most Chinese view the island country’s historical role –something that even eludes the British themselves.

The Britain-launched Opium War of 1840 is widely regarded as the starting point of China’s “century of humiliation.”

The overarching goal of the Party, the “great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,” aims to restore China’s international standing to what it was before the arrival of British gunboats.

Referred to in Chinese textbooks as “the empire on which the sun never sets,” Britain’s colonial legacy is not only reflected in Chinese artifacts looted and displayed in the British Museum, but also continues to manifest in China-India border disputes and unrest in Hong Kong.

Yet China sees Britain not merely as a once-formidable power that left an indelible mark on its modern history and geopolitical landscape, but also as an autonomous, pragmatic nation that has shown historical foresight in global engagement.

Britain was the first Western power to recognize the People’s Republic of China, in the second year of its founding to be exact—three decades before the US followed suit.

That decision remains, in Chinese eyes, a rare demonstration of strategic independence and pragmatism for an empire in decline.

As Winston Churchill once put it, “the farther backward you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see.”

This may now be a rare, and perhaps final, window for Britain and other European nations, which have now awakened to the grim reality that the American-led “liberal order” neither embraces genuine liberal values nor provides a predictable order.

Subtle historical metaphor

When Trump was in the Forbidden City in 2017, he failed to grasp or chose to disregard the subtle historical metaphor conveyed by his Chinese host: the imperative to avoid a “clash of civilizations” through dialogue and mutual respect.

Instead, within months, his administration dragged the whole world into an era of intensifying US-China confrontation, though the way things went afterwards was a far cry from the Cold War in living memory.

Starmer ended his trip to China in Shanghai with meetings with business leaders and a cultural tour of the city, underscoring economic engagement and people-to-people exchanges, as both sides expressed interest in strengthening pragmatic cooperation and long-term ties.

How the British leader makes out of the “grand view of history” during his own walk through those same imperial halls may yet prove to be a critical moment – one that future historians will cite with either admiration or commiseration when passing verdict on the fate of Britain and Europe.

Why some Western leaders are lining up for China

In recent weeks, before Starmer’s visit, Western leaders have stepped up diplomatic and economic engagement with China, signaling a renewed focus on ties with the world’s second-largest economy.

The Canadian prime minister visited Beijing earlier in January and signed multiple cooperation agreements.

Speaking in Quebec City after his trip, during which the two countries signed many agreements covering various fields, Carney emphasized that “in a time of rising walls and thickening borders, we demonstrate how a country can be both open and secure, welcoming and strong, principled and powerful.”

Carney framed the visit to Beijing as part of a broader strategy to ensure Canada thrives by building independent, mutually beneficial partnerships rather than relying on unstable powers.

Similarly, Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo led a delegation of top business executives to China on Jan. 25, highlighting their intent to strengthen bilateral trade and investment.

The recent surge of visits to China by leaders from Western countries comes against the backdrop of concerns over unilateral actions by the Trump administration, which have unsettled allies and strained traditional frameworks of cooperation.

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump criticized the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), threatened new tariffs on key allies, and claimed European nations and Canada owed a “debt” to the United States.

Such episodes have contributed to Western countries seeking alternative avenues for reliable partnerships, particularly with China.

China’s market size, policy stability and commitment to multilateralism have strengthened its appeal.

John Miller-White, executive chairman of the US-China Cooperation Foundation, said, “China demonstrates that a country can develop while contributing ideas and solutions to the world.”

French President Emmanuel Macron and other European leaders have expressed support for engagement with China, viewing it as a stabilizing force in a turbulent global economy.

Next in line, reportedly, is German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.

Why are some Western leaders suddenly practicing “woo diplomacy” with China?

Washington has become the real uncertainty.

From tariff threats to reckless talk over Greenland, even US close allies are feeling the whiplash.

China has kept its door open, and the results speak for themselves.

Meaningful outcomes will not come from slogans or pressure tactics. They will come from patience, mutual respect, and a willingness to deal with China as an equal.

That process takes time – and those who understand this will be the ones who benefit.