What the polls are saying ahead of seismic election in Israel

WorldPolitics
22 Oct 2026 • 7:30 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

What the polls are saying ahead of seismic election in Israel

  • Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu's far-right coalition is unlikely to retain power following next week's election, according to a poll of 4,000 voters by Agam Labs.
  • The right-wing Haredi bloc, which includes Netanyahu’s Likud party, is projected to win 52 to 54 seats, falling short of the 61 required for a Knesset majority.
  • The opposition party Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, is projected to win the largest individual share of seats with 20, though liberal parties overall remain short of a majority.
  • With neither main bloc likely to secure a controlling majority, potential outcomes include a unity government, an alternative coalition supported by Arab parties, or a repeat election.
  • Under Israeli election law, the publication of political polls is prohibited after Friday leading up to the vote on 27 October.

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