Who is left to run?

PoliticsOpinion
10 Feb 2026 • 12:10 AM MYT
The Manila Times
The Manila Times

One of the longest-running English broadsheets in the Philippines

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WITH Sen. Risa Hontiveros conducting Senate hearings on anti-dynasty legislation, and the House to follow, debate shifts from principle to design.

Every debate on anti-dynasty legislation eventually returns to the same slogan: Break elite capture. It is a powerful line, emotionally satisfying and politically useful. But slogans are not laws. And once we move from aspiration to operational design, uncomfortable questions emerge, especially when the proposed ban is pushed to its logical extreme.

Consider the version now being seriously contemplated: a blanket prohibition on candidates related within the fourth degree of consanguinity or affinity, applied across all levels of government, all election cycles, and even across staggered elections. Barangay officials elected off-cycle? Covered. BARMM officials elected on a different calendar? Covered. Midterm Senate elections where the president and vice president are not on the ballot? Still covered. Party-list nominees? Covered too, if any nominee is caught by the ban.

Once you map this out carefully, the question is no longer whether political dynasties are constrained. The real question becomes: Who is still legally allowed to run?

The answer is sobering.

Under this regime, a qualified candidate must come from a family with no elected officials anywhere in the country, in any election cycle, and no relatives, by blood or marriage, who are either incumbents or candidates during the same or overlapping periods. Parents, siblings, grandparents, aunts, uncles, cousins, in-laws — all must be politically absent. Not just now, but synchronously absent relative to the election calendar.

This is not merely a restriction on dynasties. It is a redefinition of political eligibility itself.

The citizen who survives this filter is not the median Filipino. He or she is more likely a first-generation aspirant from a small, urban, professionally dispersed family. Someone whose kin are private employees, overseas workers, academics, or NGO professionals. Someone whose relatives live in different cities, different regions, or different countries. Someone whose family is socially mobile, geographically fragmented and politically disengaged.

In short, someone structurally unlike most Filipinos.

The Philippines is not a low-kinship-density society. Our political units, especially barangay (villages), are embedded in thick networks of family, marriage and clan. In many rural and peri-urban communities, being related within the fourth degree is not exceptional. It is normal. Intermarriage across families are layered onto kinship, and decades of shared residence mean that entire barangay can be genealogically intertwined.

Under the proposed rules, these communities are not merely regulated. They are effectively disqualified as political spaces.

Take barangay elections. If the ban applies fully, and if any incumbent barangay official’s relatives are barred from running in regular elections, and vice versa, then eligibility shrinks dramatically. In some barangay, the pool of legally qualified candidates may be reduced to a handful of people, or none at all. What follows then? Appointments? Waivers? Genealogical hearings before the Commission on Elections?

Because, make no mistake, this law does not enforce itself automatically. Someone must determine who is related to whom, up to the fourth degree, across multiple election cycles. That requires genealogical verification, documentary proof, adjudication of disputes, and appeals. We are not just banning dynasties. We are institutionalizing kinship surveillance as a condition for candidacy.

And then there is the deeper representational problem.

Democracy presumes that those who govern emerge from the same social world as those they represent. But the candidate who qualifies under this regime is, by design, atypical. He or she is less embedded in local kinship networks, less shaped by barangay-level social obligations, and less reflective of how most Filipinos actually live. The law does not merely prevent family monopolies. It filters out the socially ordinary. Over time, this creates a political class selected not by persuasion, competence, or trust, but by genealogical accident. It rewards social distance and penalizes rootedness. It quietly treats embeddedness in community life as a liability rather than a democratic asset. In doing so, it mistakes social insulation for integrity. The result is not a politics cleansed of power, but a politics abstracted from lived reality. Representation becomes thinner, not stronger. The voices that remain eligible increasingly speak about communities rather than from within them.

Ironically, the more “clean” a candidate is under this definition, the more likely he or she is to come from already privileged conditions: smaller families, urban anonymity, professional insulation, and weak local accountability rooted in kinship ties. The law risks replacing one form of elite capture with another less familial, perhaps, but no less socially skewed.

This is not a defense of dynasties. It is a warning against confusing moral intent with institutional design.

We have seen this before. Early claims that dynasties cause poverty eventually gave way to more careful findings of association, mediation and context. Governance failures are rarely monocausal. They arise from incentives, institutions, enforcement gaps and political culture, not surnames alone. Yet the current discourse has returned to a crude determinism: remove relatives, and virtue will follow.

But democracy is not a laboratory experiment where variables can be cleanly isolated. It is a social system embedded in history, culture and lived relationships. Laws that ignore this reality do not purify democracy. They distort it.

An anti-dynasty law that ends up defining eligibility around low kin density, geographic mobility and political detachment is not neutral. It privileges one social type over another. It silently declares that the “ideal” Filipino candidate is one whose family has never participated meaningfully in local politics.

That should trouble us.

Because if the only citizens who can run are those structurally unrepresentative of the Filipino majority, then the problem is no longer dynasties. The problem is that we have redesigned democracy for a population that rarely exists.

Reform requires restraint, precision and humility. Not every social ill yields to a single prohibition. And not every moral impulse survives contact with institutional reality.

Before we celebrate the passing of an anti-dynasty law, we should ask a harder question: When the dust settles and the disqualifications are applied, who is left standing, and whom have we quietly excluded?

The author is a professor at the University of the Philippines Los Baños and vice chairman of the board of the state-run PTV Network Inc. The views expressed here are his own.