Why Bank of England is set to keep interest rates unchanged in first 2026 announcement

WorldBusiness & Finance
1 Feb 2026 • 5:53 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

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  • The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to keep interest rates at 3.75% when it announces its decision on Thursday.
  • This anticipated decision follows an unexpected rise in the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rate to 3.4% in December, up from 3.2% in November.
  • Economists suggest that the inflation uptick, which remains well above the 2% target, will reinforce the MPC's inclination to maintain current borrowing costs.
  • The Bank had previously cut rates before Christmas, with Governor Andrew Bailey noting inflation had passed its peak, though he cautioned future cuts would be “a closer call”.
  • Analysts forecast the next potential rate cut to occur in April, with forthcoming data on pay settlements expected to be a decisive factor in shaping policy.

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