Yen soars to four-month peak after surprise BOJ policy tweak

Business & Finance
20 Dec 2022 • 3:38 PM MYT
Malay Mail
Malay Mail

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TOKYO, Dec 20 — The yen surged to a four-month peak against the dollar on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan said it would review its yield curve control policy and widened the trading band for the 10-year government bond yield in an unexpected tweak.

While it kept broad policy settings unchanged — pinning short-term JGB yields at -0.1 per cent and the 10-year yield around zero — it widened the allowable band for long-term yields to 50 basis points either side of that, from 25 basis points previously.

The dollar tumbled as much as 3.1 per cent to ¥132.68, a level last seen in mid-August.

Eyes will now be trained on BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s media briefing later in the day for additional hints about a pivot away from ultra-easy policy. Most BOJ watchers had expected no changes until his 10-year term finishes at the end of March.

“This was really out of the box,” said Bart Wakabayashi, branch manager at State Street in Tokyo.

“We’re seeing them start to test the market about the exit strategy,” he added. “It will depend on Kuroda’s comments later today, but we could see a break below 130. It’s very much within reach this year.”

The 10-year JGB yield jumped to 0.46 per cent from the previous cap at 0.25 per cent. It pulled equivalent US Treasury yields higher as well, with the 10-year soaring to the highest this month at 3.711 per cent.

The US dollar index sank, dropping 0.21 per cent to 104.42 and returning to the middle of its trading range this month of 103.44 to 105.90. The index measures the greenback against the yen and five other major peers, including the euro and sterling.

It had been moving towards the top of that range before the BOJ announcement as investors continued to digest the Federal Reserve’s message of higher interest rates for longer.

The yen’s gains were broad, with the euro tumbling about 3 per cent to the lowest since December 2 at ¥140.90 and sterling also sliding some 3 per cent to the lowest since October 12 at ¥160.87.

Against the dollar, the euro declined 0.26 per cent toUS$1.0579 and sterling eased 0.33 per cent to US$1.2105.

The Aussie and New Zealand dollars each fell about 3.5 per cent to ¥88.37, a seven-month trough, and ¥84.11, a 5-1/2-week low, respectively.

“You can look across any yen pair and they look very similar — strength to the yen to the detriment to the currency you trade it against,” Matt Simpson, market analyst at City Index, wrote in an email.

“From here is looks as though USD/JPY could be headed for 130 now that it has broken to a new cycle low.”

Against the greenback, New Zealand’s dollar dropped as much as 1 per cent to US$0.6301, a two-week low, extending earlier declines following a big drop in a survey of local business confidence.

The Australia dollar AUD=EBS slumped as much as 1 per cent to US$0.6629 for the first time since November 22. — Reuters

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