Scientists warn super El Niño could bring staggering number of deaths

WorldEnvironment
30 Oct 2026 • 12:50 AM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

Scientists warn super El Niño could bring staggering number of deaths

  • Researchers at the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab predict a Super El Niño could cause nearly 900,000 excess heat-related deaths globally over a 10-month period.
  • An estimated 484,500 excess deaths occurred between June and September, with approximately 372,900 additional heat-related fatalities forecasted over the next six months.
  • Nigeria, India, and China are expected to be the hardest hit, with Nigeria and India facing over 56,000 and 55,000 additional deaths, respectively.
  • Southeast Asia faces severe threats, including an estimated 29,000 deaths in Indonesia alongside respiratory illnesses and poor air quality from El Niño-fueled wildfires.
  • Studies indicate human-caused climate change is making El Niño events over 36 percent stronger than in the pre-industrial era, exacerbating extreme weather hazards worldwide.

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