UK growth downgraded to 1% in 2027 due to ‘global economic storms’

WorldBusiness & Finance
28 Oct 2026 • 10:20 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

UK growth downgraded to 1% in 2027 due to ‘global economic storms’

  • The Office for Budget Responsibility has upgraded UK GDP growth forecasts for this year to 1.2 per cent, up from a previous estimate of 1.1 per cent.
  • Economic growth projections for 2027 have been cut sharply from 1.6 per cent to 1.0 per cent amid rising inflation and global fallout from the war on Iran.
  • Growth is expected to recover in subsequent years, reaching 1.6 per cent in 2028, 1.8 per cent in 2029, and 1.7 per cent in 2030.
  • Chancellor John Healey confirmed a reduction in UK fiscal headroom to £15 billion in 2029/30 following a £14 billion surge in debt interest costs.
  • The watchdog warned that persistent economic shocks since 2008 have led to weak growth and elevated levels of government debt.

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