- Prediction markets show Donald Trump ranking a distant third to be named TIME's Person of the Year, trailing New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Pope Leo XIV.
- Both leading picks on prediction sites Kalshi and Polymarket have engaged in high-profile feuds with President Trump.
- Trump's relationship with Mamdani deteriorated over clashes regarding luxury tax policies and federal immigration enforcement in New York.
- Tensions between the White House and Pope Leo XIV escalated after the pontiff publicly criticized U.S. immigration policies and foreign policy actions regarding Iran.
- The rift between the Trump administration and Catholic leaders has impacted federal partnerships, including the termination of an $11 million contract with Catholic Charities.
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