UN warns this year’s El Niño could be worst we’ve seen in 40 years. Will it affect UK weather?

WorldEnvironment
21 Oct 2026 • 8:23 PM MYT
The Independent
The Independent

The world’s most free-thinking newspaper

UN warns this year’s El Niño could be worst we’ve seen in 40 years. Will it affect UK weather?

  • The head of the UN weather agency has warned that this year's El Niño could be the strongest recorded in the last four decades.
  • The World Meteorological Organization forecasts that tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures will reach record levels between October and December.
  • Severe impacts are already being felt globally, including heavy flooding in South America and worsened wildfires in Indonesia.
  • Experts warn the phenomenon could increase the likelihood of wetter and stormier conditions across northwest Europe, including the UK.
  • The Met Office noted that El Niño could also heighten the risk of UK cold snaps by weakening the polar vortex, though this is dependent on multiple competing factors.

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